NFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Week 11, 2020: Proven model loving Browns, Chargers

The Pittsburgh Steelers have been the only undefeated team in the NFL since a Week 7 win over the Titans. Now, they’ll enter the Week 11 NFL schedule with a chance to move to 10-0 against the Jaguars. The Steelers are 7-2 against the spread and will need a convincing win on Sunday in order to keep their backers happy. In fact, the Steelers are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Week 11 NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The Jaguars are just 1-8 overall this year, but they’ve covered their NFL spreads the last two weeks and are now 4-5 against the number overall.

Meanwhile, the latest Week 11 NFL Vegas lines list the red-hot Dolphins as 3.5-point favorites in Denver. Miami enters on a five-game winning streak and has covered in seven of its last eight games, but this is the first time the Dolphins have been favored on the road. All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.

It’s a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks this season, already returning over $800. The model enters Week 11 on an incredible 114-73 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has examined the latest Week 11 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.

Top NFL predictions for Week 11

One of the top Week 11 NFL picks the model recommends: the Browns cover comfortably at home against the Eagles as three-point favorites. The Browns have feasted on what has turned out to be a soft schedule, beating the Bengals twice, the Cowboys, Washington, and Houston on their way to a 6-3 start. 

Now, the Browns will get another matchup against a struggling NFC East opponent. The Eagles rank 26th in the NFL against the run. Cleveland running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt both topped 100 yards in a win over the Texans last week, while the Eagles gave up 153 yards and three scores to Daniel Jones, Wayne Gallman and Alfred Morris in a loss to the Giants. That’s a big reason why the model says the Browns cover in well over 50 percent of simulations, while the under (47.5) also hits well over 50 percent of the time.

Another one of the top Week 11 NFL predictions from the model: The Chargers (-9.5) cover at home against the New York Jets. This line opened at -10 and has moved down a key point, boosting L.A.’s chances of covering.

The model has considered that New York has struggled mightily on offense, ranking last in the NFL in total offense (266 yards per game) and scoring offense (13.4 points per game). 

With quarterback Sam Darnold (shoulder) out again, the Jets don’t reach 20 points in the simulations, opening the door for Los Angeles, which has averaged 29 points per game in its last six outings, to pick up a double-digit win. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert throws for well over 300 yards and two touchdowns as Los Angeles covers in more than 50 percent of simulations. Those numbers also help push the game over the total (46).

How to make Week 11 NFL picks 

The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and has identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 11? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks. 

NFL odds, matchups for Week 11

Sunday, Nov. 22

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (-3.5, 49)

Latest Odds:


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington Football Team (-1, 46.5)

Detroit Lions vs. Carolina Panthers (-3)

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans (+2, 49)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns (-3, 47.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+10.5, 46)

Latest Odds:


Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens (-6, 49.5)

Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 51.5)

New York Jets vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5, 46)

Latest Odds:


Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos (+3.5, 45.5)

Latest Odds:


Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings (-7, 48)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+8.5, 57)

Monday, Nov. 23

Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4, 48)

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